In a complex geopolitical maneuver, the United States is simultaneously penalizing a key ally and extending an economic olive branch to an adversary, using energy as both a weapon and a tool for diplomacy. This two-pronged strategy reveals the transactional nature of the Trump administration’s foreign policy.
On one hand, India is on the receiving end of steep 50% tariffs on its exports to America. These duties, set to be fully implemented this Wednesday, are a direct consequence of its decision to purchase oil from Russia, a move the White House has deemed unacceptable.
On the other hand, high-level talks between American and Russian officials are exploring ways to deepen their energy ties. The discussions reportedly include a plan for US energy giant Exxon Mobil to return to Russia’s Sakhalin-1 project and other significant energy collaborations aimed at incentivizing Moscow.
These parallel actions highlight a strategic calculation: use economic pressure to punish allies who stray from the US line, while offering economic rewards to adversaries in exchange for diplomatic concessions. The goal of the talks with Russia is to lure Moscow to the negotiating table over the conflict in Ukraine, showcasing a pragmatic but potentially controversial foreign policy approach.